Plus: Confidence by Party, Trusted U.S. Institutions, Immigration Views, Lone Gunman
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| Front Page July 22, 2025 | | | Our mission is to report how people around the globe feel about their lives, their work and the world around them. | | | 1. Who Do We Trust? | | | | The Data: An average 28% of Americans express “a great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in nine core institutions measured by Gallup, unchanged from last year and near the all-time low. This marks the fourth consecutive year of sub-30% average confidence. The Trend: Among 18 key U.S. institutions included in this year's survey, only the military, science and small business now enjoy majority-level confidence. Partisan divides are most pronounced on the presidency and the police, with Republicans reporting much higher confidence than Democrats in each. Read More | | | 2. Red Rising, Blue Sinking | | | | The Data: Republicans' average confidence in nine major U.S. institutions rose nine percentage points this year to 37%, while Democrats' fell by five points to 26%. Republicans' resulting lead in confidence is a reversal of the pattern seen in 2024 and throughout Joe Biden's presidency. The Trend: These swings by presidential administration are not unusual. Partisans' confidence has repeatedly shifted based on which party occupies the White House, though the level of trust among all groups has declined throughout the trend since 1979. Read More | | | 3. The Few, the Trusted | | | | The Highs: Small business (70%), the military (62%) and science (61%) command the most public confidence among 18 major U.S. institutions. Each is trusted “a great deal” or “quite a lot” by a majority of Americans. The Lows: Congress (10%), television news (11%), big business (15%), the criminal justice system (17%) and newspapers (17%) sit at the bottom of Gallup's annual confidence list. Nearly half of Americans express “very little” confidence in Congress (49%), and over 40% say the same about television news, big business and the presidency. Full List | | | 4. Immigration Concerns Settling Down | | | | The Data: Thirty percent of Americans now say immigration should be decreased, down from 55% in 2024 and nearly back to the level measured in 2021. Meanwhile, 38% favor keeping immigration at its present level and 26% say it should be increased. The Trend: Reflecting the ups and downs of illegal border crossings into the U.S., support for reducing immigration has swung sharply in recent years. It rose from an all-time low of 28% in 2020 to 55% in 2024 before dropping by nearly half in 2025. The current share preferring more immigration remains well above historical norms seen before 2015 as more Democrats have embraced this view. Read More | | | 5. Picking Up Good Migrations | | | | The Data: A record-high 79% of Americans now say immigration is a good thing for the country, while a record-low 17% say it is a bad thing. Party Differences: The rise in views of immigration being a good thing is driven largely by a sharp increase among Republicans, whose views under President Donald Trump have returned to 2020 levels after dipping in recent years. Independents show a smaller rebound. Democrats remain consistently supportive, with 91% now saying immigration is a good thing — the highest on record but in line with rates of 80% or higher since 2016. Latest Data | | | 6. The Lone Gunman Theory | | | | The Data: Days after President John F. Kennedy's funeral, 52% of Americans said they believed some group or element beyond Lee Harvey Oswald was responsible for the assassination. Just 29% thought Oswald acted alone, while 19% were unsure. In the decades since, Gallup has consistently found that most Americans believe JFK's assassination involved a conspiracy. More Context: That skepticism is newly relevant. Recently declassified documents confirm that the CIA had been monitoring Oswald's pro-Castro activities before the assassination and hid its involvement from congressional investigative committees. Gallup's original 1963 findings noted a variety of conspiracy theories among Americans, few of which named foreign or ideological actors. Gallup Vault | | | | | |
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