Plus: Economic Confidence, Trump/Biden Favorability, Weight Loss Injectables, Looking Back at D-Day
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 | The voice of the world in numbers | | | June 4, 2024 | | | Welcome to Front Page, where we break down Gallup's latest insights on our constantly evolving world. Here are the five insights you shouldn't miss this week: | | | | Be on the lookout for a special edition of Front Page on Wednesday, June 12, for the launch of Gallup's annual State of the Global Workplace report! | | | | | | | 1. EU Leadership Gains Popularity | | | | The Data: In 2012, not long after the global financial crash and eurozone debt crisis, public approval of the leadership of the European Union was at its lowest point on record, at 40%. Fast-forward a decade, and nearly two-thirds across the EU approve. A Closer Look: Over the past 10 years, every country has grown substantially more approving of the EU's leadership — apart from three countries where approval has been stable (Luxembourg, Slovakia and Bulgaria). Many of the biggest increases in EU approval have occurred in some of the countries hit hardest by the 2008 global financial crisis and European debt crisis, including Iceland, Spain, Portugal, Ireland and Greece. Read Article | 2. Economic Confidence Slips Deeper Into Negative Territory | | | | The Data: The percentage of Americans rating the economy as “excellent” or “good” fell slightly in May, while the percentage saying it is “poor” ticked up to the highest point recorded since November. Additionally, when asked about the direction they believe the economy is heading, 70% say the economy is getting worse — a slight increase from April, and the most pessimistic Americans have been on this measure since November. Longer-Range View: Economic confidence is still markedly better than nearly all measures collected in 2022 and 2023, and despite ups and downs over the past two years, it has been on a generally upward trajectory. Gallup's monthly updates will better inform if this is a momentary downturn or a significant reversal of confidence as this election year progresses. New Data | 3. Americans' Views of Both Biden and Trump Skew Negative | | | | The Data: U.S. adults' opinions of President Joe Biden and Donald Trump are more negative than positive in Gallup's latest update of its historical “scalometer” measure of candidate favorability. Trump's ratings are a bit more polarized than Biden's, with greater percentages of voters rating him at the extreme ends of the scalometer's spectrum (from -5 to +5). When tallying the overall favorable (+1 to +5) and unfavorable (-1 to -5) ratings, Biden's and Trump's favorable ratings are the same, at 46% each, while small majorities of voters have negative views of each candidate. For Context: Trump's 46% favorable scalometer rating is nearly identical to what it was in 2020 (47%), while it has improved from 2016 when, at 36%, he trailed Hillary Clinton in favorability. Biden's 46% favorable rating is down from 2020 (54%) and now nearly matches Clinton's in 2016 (47%). New Data | 4. Most Users of Injectable Weight Loss Drugs Say They're Effective | | | | The Data: Six percent of U.S. adults, representing an estimated 15.5 million people, report having used injectable diabetes medicine to reduce weight, including 3% who are currently using such medicine specifically for this purpose. Drug Reviews: Close to two-thirds of Americans who have taken weight loss injections (64%) say the drugs have been either “extremely effective” or “effective” at helping them lose weight. Only 11% report weight loss injections to be “not at all effective.” Young and middle-aged adults view the effectiveness similarly, with 70% of those aged 18 to 49 and 67% of those aged 50 to 64 saying weight loss injections have been effective or extremely effective for them. By contrast, less than half of adults aged 65 and older (48%) say they've been effective. New Data | 5. D-Day Spurred Optimism About War's End | | | | The Data: Thursday marks the 80th anniversary of the Allies landing on the beaches in Normandy, now known as D-Day. Gallup trends from that era on Americans' outlook for the duration of the war suggest that the victory raised hopes that the war's end was near. Looking Back: Leading up to the 1944 attack on German forces at Normandy, Americans had become pessimistic about when the war would end — with most in March of that year thinking it would occur in 1945 or later. However, in the wake of the D-Day landings, in July 1944, Gallup again asked Americans when they expected the war with Germany would end — and found that optimism had returned to prior levels, with 59% saying the conflict would come to a close in 1944. The Gallup Vault | | |
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