Plus: Biden Approval, U.S. Support to Ukraine, Russia and Ukraine Stalemate, Remote Work and Culture
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 | The voice of the world in numbers. | | | May 7, 2024 | | | Welcome to Front Page, where we break down Gallup's latest insights on our constantly evolving world. Here are the five insights you shouldn't miss this week: | | | 1. Immigration Remains a Major Concern in U.S. | | | | The Data: Immigration is not only a top public concern but also an increasingly partisan issue, with a significant 40-percentage-point gap in concern between Republicans' (48%) and Democrats' (8%) mentions of the issue in April. Political Polarization: Immigration has become a uniquely polarizing issue on Gallup's monthly, open-ended “most important problem” measure. The 40- and 47-point gaps between Republicans and Democrats mentioning it as the top problem in recent months are greater than for any other issue in the past 25 years. Full Story | 2. Biden's 13th-Quarter Approval at Historical Low | | | | The Data: President Joe Biden's job approval rating averaged 38.7% in his latest quarter in office, a new low in the history of 13th-quarter approval ratings. George H.W. Bush had the previous low for this quarter, at 41.8%, in 1992. Election Indicator: While there is no precedent to say how a president with less than 40% approval in their 13th quarter might fare in reelection, three of the four presidents with approval ratings below 50% in their 13th quarter were unsuccessful: Jimmy Carter (47.7%), George H.W. Bush (41.8%) and Donald Trump (46.8%). At 45.9%, only Barack Obama managed to secure a second term. Full Story | 3. U.S. Role in Ukraine | | | | The Data: In polling conducted before Congress voted to approve U.S. aid to Ukraine as part of a broader foreign aid package, just over a third of Americans (36%) said the U.S. is doing too much to help Ukraine, while an equal proportion said it is not doing enough. Another 26% said it is doing the right amount. Democratic Shift: Democrats are driving the increase in Americans' belief that the U.S. is not doing enough to help Ukraine in the conflict. Sixty percent of Democrats (up 22 points from the previous measure in October 2023) said U.S. support for Ukraine is insufficient. Full Story | 4. Who Is Winning the War in Ukraine? | | | | The Data: A majority of Americans (65%) continue to believe Russia and Ukraine are at a stalemate, with neither side winning. However, after recent military movements, 23% of Americans now perceive Russia as gaining the upper hand in Ukraine, up from 14% last October. Ukraine Reclaiming Territory: A small majority of Americans think the U.S. should continue to support Ukraine in reclaiming its territory (55%), even if that requires prolonged involvement, rather than ending the conflict as quickly as possible (43%), even if that means ceding territory to Russia. Full Story | 5. Cultural Effect of Remote Work | | | | The Data: Among U.S. employees, 62% of individual contributors — compared with 57% of leaders and 58% of managers — predict no change to their company culture if remote work becomes the norm. Leadership Gap: Leaders are significantly more concerned than individual contributors about the potential for remote work to negatively affect company culture. While 27% of leaders think their culture would be worse if employees were to work remotely “some or all of the time,” 13% of individual contributors say the same. New Data | | |
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