For years, industry experts have warned of China's dominance of key raw materials in the automotive and other industries and of the consequences if the world's second-largest economy turned off the taps.
This is exactly what China has done with rare earth elements, where it controls 70% of mining and 90% of global refining capacity, by imposing export controls in April in response to Trump's tariffs.
Tariffs have been described as blunt instruments in trade that cause wide, fairly indiscriminate pain. But Xi Jinping's response is highly targeted and designed to cause maximum hurt.
Magnets made with rare earth elements are used in anything with a motor in a car, from wing mirrors, to seats, oil pump sensors, air conditioning and speakers. As the clever folks at consultancy AlixPartners put it, "you can't build a modern car without rare earths."
Don't worry, though, automakers and suppliers surely learned from supply chain shortages in the coronavirus pandemic, just like they said they had after the Fukushima disaster in 2011 and stockpiled loads of rare earth elements, right?
Not so much.
Apparently, many suppliers and automakers are in "full panic" mode as their supplies will run out in mid-July and lead to widespread shutdowns.
This may be why Trump was so keen on a phone call with Xi.
Tellingly, after the call, Trump said the rare earth issue needed to be resolved. The Chinese government did not even mention it.
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