Tuesday, February 25, 2025
Plus: State of the Nation Ratings, Economic Predictions, Transgender Troops, Presidential Popularity
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| The voice of the world in numbers | | Feb. 25, 2025 | | | Welcome to Front Page, where we break down Gallup's latest insights on our constantly evolving world. Here are the five insights you shouldn't miss this week: | | 1. Democrats Rethink Party Direction | | The Data: A growing share of U.S. Democrats (45%) would like their party to become more moderate, up 11 percentage points since 2021. Meanwhile, 43% of Republicans favor keeping their party's ideology the same, an increase of nine points for the “if it ain't broke, don't fix it” position. The Trend: Since the start of Joe Biden's presidency in 2021, Democratic support for a more liberal party has dropped by five points, while fewer Republicans now prefer a more conservative party (28%, down 12 points). Latest Story | 2. State of the Nation: The List | | The Data: Americans' average satisfaction with 31 aspects of U.S. society was 38% in January. This matches the nation's mood throughout Biden's presidency but is down from 41% as Donald Trump was leaving office in January 2021. Majorities are satisfied with the nation's military strength and their overall quality of life but frustrated with the moral climate and efforts to combat poverty. The Trend: While some aspects like the military and quality of life are viewed positively, concerns remain over healthcare, crime, taxes and race relations. Dissatisfaction with poverty and homelessness efforts is near the record high for the trend, at 80%. Full List | 3. Economic Optimism at Seven-Year High | | The Data: Americans are the most optimistic they have been in seven years about key economic indicators, particularly economic growth, the stock market and interest rates. Deeper Dive: Majorities expect GDP and the stock market to rise in 2025, while 41% believe interest rates will fall — marking their most optimistic outlook on rates in years and outpacing the 35% who expect them to rise. Public expectations for inflation remain cautious, with 52% predicting it will increase, though this is improved from recent years. Meanwhile, Americans are evenly split on whether unemployment will go up (38%) or go down (38%), while 21% believe it will hold steady, a potentially positive sign given current low unemployment. Full Story | 4. GOP Support Drops for Openly Trans Troops | | The Data: A majority of Americans (58%) still favor allowing openly transgender men and women to serve in the U.S. military, but support has dropped from 71% in 2019 and 66% in 2021. The decline is driven largely by Republicans, with their support falling from 43% in 2019 and 2021 to 23% today. Independents' backing has dipped to 62%, while Democratic support remains fairly steady at 84%. The Trend: Transgender individuals were first allowed to serve openly in 2016 during the Obama administration, but Trump's recent executive actions have reinstated previous restrictions. Public opinion on the issue has shifted significantly in response, particularly among Republicans and independents. Full Story | 5. U.S. Presidential Popularity | | The Data: Barack Obama remains the most favorably viewed living U.S. president, with 59% holding a positive opinion of him. In contrast, Biden receives the lowest rating at 39%. George W. Bush and Bill Clinton are viewed more positively than negatively, while opinions of Trump remain divided. The Trend: Trump's and Biden's ratings have remained largely unchanged since the 2024 election, with no significant image boost from the presidential transition. Trump's favorable rating, however, is among his highest since Gallup first measured opinions of him in 1999. New Data | | | |
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